Trump’s Lead Over Harris Widens on Polymarket’s Prediction Market
Donald Trump’s odds of winning the U.S. presidential election have surged to a more than two-month high on the leading prediction market, Polymarket.
Traders are giving the former president a 55.8% shot versus Vice President Kamala Harris’ 43.8%, according to pricing on Polymarket, where more than $1.6 billion has been wagered on the November election.
:format(jpg)/cloudfront-us-east-1.images.arcpublishing.com/coindesk/TORRY3N5GJEXNL62PVMWPCEMHU.jpg)
Trump’s chances have risen to levels last seen days after President Joe Biden said he wouldn’t seek reelection, clearing the way for his vice president to take over.
Another prediction market, Kalshi, which just recently won permission to list contracts based on U.S. elections, also shows Trump in the lead over Harris: 52% to 48%. PredictIt, meanwhile, shows a slimmer Trump lead: 53% to 52%.
Polymarket is not technically available to Americans, though VPN users likely sidestep that restriction. Kalshi and PredictIt are allowed in the U.S., however.
Disclosure
Please note that our
privacy policy,
terms of use,
cookies,
and
do not sell my personal information
have been updated
.
CoinDesk is an
award-winning
media outlet that covers the cryptocurrency industry. Its journalists abide by a strict set of
editorial policies.
CoinDesk has adopted a set of principles aimed at ensuring the integrity, editorial independence and freedom from bias of its publications. CoinDesk is part of the Bullish group, which owns and invests in digital asset businesses and digital assets. CoinDesk employees, including journalists, may receive Bullish group equity-based compensation. Bullish was incubated by technology investor Block.one.
:format(jpg)/s3.amazonaws.com/arc-authors/coindesk/316ac93f-4b4a-4379-be0d-fc94b27772c2.png)
Nick Baker is CoinDesk’s deputy editor-in-chief and a Loeb Award winner. He owns more than $1,000 of BTC and SOL.
Follow @inkbacker on Twitter
