Historically Painful: Bitcoin Lost 12% on Average in September For the Past Three Years
The price of Bitcoin (BTC) on major exchanges has dropped by approximately 2.9 percent to $10,558.60 over the past 24 hours, as of press time —sparking widespread declines throughout the wider cryptocurrency market.
Tokens relating to decentralized finance have seen particularly harsh declines of late, and BTC’s drop in valuation since a failure to push higher over the weekend hasn’t done DeFi tokens any favors.
Where The S&P 500 Goes, BTC Follows
The cryptocurrency market’s decline in valuation isn’t taking place in a vacuum, of course. The S&P 500 Index has steadily dropped in September from levels approaching 3,600 to nearly 3,300.
With the S&P 500 Index struggling, it comes as no surprise that the price of the leading cryptocurrency is also finding it hard to gain a foothold in September. As noted by Kraken’s Bitcoin Volatility Report for August, the correlation between BTC and the S&P 500 reached as high as 0.84 last month.
With widespread economic uncertainty plaguing the traditional markets amid a volatile year and COVID-19 cases increasing in Europe, it stands to reason that risk-on assets — such as cryptocurrencies — may struggle to find gains while the stock market declines.
Bitcoin Drops in September (Remember?)
Furthermore, September has never been a friendly month for BTC. In fact, it is the market leader’s worst month, historically — with an average return of -7 percent.
With this historical context in mind, it comes as even less of a surprise that BTC is currently down approximately 9 percent this month.
Looking at the markets for the past three years, things appear rather grim for September. In 2017, the price dropped by roughly around 11.8%, in 2018 – with 6.3%, and in 2019 – with 17.7%. On average, Bitcoin’s lost about 12% during September for the past three years.
Not to be deterred
With all of this in mind, many Bitcoin investors are finding plenty of reasons to remain bullish amid a predictable September decline.
Research suggests that major institutional players have been accumulating BTC throughout critical junctions in 2020, which is backed up my news that investors like Paul Tudor Jones and MicroStrategy are investing in BTC as a hedge against inflation.
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