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Ethereum Price Analysis: Is ETH Primed for Recovery Following 8% Weekly Correction?

Yesterday, much like the stock markets, cryptocurrencies had rough times. Ethereum lost about 9% of its value, and the bears pushed the price toward the support at $2,800.

Technical Analysis

By Grizzly

The Daily Chart

On the daily timeframe, Ethereum entered a correction phase after failing to break the barrier of Fibonacci Retracement at 0.618. It is currently forming a bullish pattern with the formation of higher highs and lows. However, the main question is whether the bears would allow the support at $2800 to be considered a higher low?

If this happens, a retest of the horizontal resistance in the range of $3500-$3600 would be slightly more probable. Breaking it and forming another higher high could push the price to $4000. The downtrend momentum seems to have somewhat eased, and sellers are gradually losing power although still holding the upper hand.

Support Key Levels: $2500 & $2300

Resistance Key Levels: $3300 & $3600

2
Source: TtradingView

Moving Averages:

MA20: $3030

MA50: $3036

MA100: $2907

MA200: $3470

The 4-Hour Chart

On the 4-hour timeframe, ETH is trading below the descending line (marked red) and the Ichimoku Cloud, which acts as a resistance. What is remarkable is that the downward momentum in this timeframe gradually decreases. If ETH can hold support at $2800 and build a higher high in this zone, one can expect the bulls to retest the resistance at $3000, which is the main barrier in the lower timeframe.

1
Source: TradingVIew

On-chain- analysis

Exchange Supply Ratio

Exchange Supply Ratio is calculated as the exchange reserve divided by the total supply for a specific asset such as bitcoin.

As it is shown in the chart, despite the price decreases, this metric continues the downward trend, which we have already seen in the past uptrends. There is currently no sign of investors’ willingness to deposit their tokens into exchanges.

3
Source: CryptoQuant
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