Cardano’s ADA Paints ‘Death Cross’ Amid Regulatory Uncertainty

An ominous-sounding technical analysis pattern called “death cross” has appeared on the daily price chart of Ethereum competitor Cardano’s ADA token.

A death cross occurs when the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) drops below the 200-day SMA. Followers of technical analysis consider the death cross a warning the market is about to head into a tailspin.

ADA’s 50- and 200-day SMAs crossed bearishly over the weekend, confirming the first death cross since December 2021, according to charting platform TradingView.

The moving average crossovers are backward-looking and considered unreliable as standalone indicators. That said, the latest death cross is consistent with the dour regulatory outlook for ADA and alternative cryptocurrencies (altcoins), in general.

Crypto traders were caught off guard earlier this month after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), in its lawsuit against Binance, classified a slew of tokens as securities, including ADA.

Cardano development company IOG promptly rejected the SEC’s claim. Still, ADA ran into selling pressure and has lost 30% of its market value this month, the most significant single-month decline since March 2022. The sell-off probably stems from fears that being categorized as security would subject ADA to greater regulatory oversight.

“If the SEC ultimately prevails (which may take several years or even a decade), altcoin issuers and liquidity providers will face unprecedented difficulties,” Matt Hu, CEO of crypto asset management firm Blofin, said in a report published over the weekend.

Hu added that the regulatory risk is “mainly concentrated on altcoins investors, which has a limited impact on holders who only hold BTC and ETH.”

ADA changed hands at $0.26 at press time, according to CoinDesk data. Early Tuesday, Cardano released the Node version 8.1.1 on the blockchain’s mainnet aimed at boosting network processes by reducing epoch transitions or time periods on the blockchain.